La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-04-19 23:21 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 2–4 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 48.95%2.04momio equitativo
EV -0.626%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.608%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.94%48.95%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.951.952.0353.19%51.34%51.28%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 51.05%1.96momio equitativo
EV +0.053%
Ventaja +0.027%
Kelly +0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.06%51.05%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.871.871.9655.56%53.42%53.48%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.053%E +0.027%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 22:10
theScore Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.61%E -0.799%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-19 23:15
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:10
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 23:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 22:30
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.626%E -0.309%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 23:05
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 22:25
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 23:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:01
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:10
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 23:20
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 23:19
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 22:13
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 23:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:58
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:25
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:10
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:01
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.07%E -3.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 23:20
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 23:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 23:09
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 23:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 48.51%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.49%-0.4%2026-04-19 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-19 23:20
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-19 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-19 23:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-19 23:05
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-19 22:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%3.1%2026-04-19 23:20