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Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.33%53.26%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.771.8557.80%56.25%56.34%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV +0.792%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.683%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%46.67%46.74%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.062.1651.28%48.43%48.54%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 53.34%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 46.66%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.792%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.792%E +0.367%K +0.683%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.608%E -0.285%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 14:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 14:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 14:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 16:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 16:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -1.86%E -1.01%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |