L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 17:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 53.34%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.33%53.26%55.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.781.771.8557.80%56.25%56.34%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.66%2.14cote équitable
EV +0.792%
Avantage +0.367%
Kelly +0.683%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.85%46.67%46.74%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.062.062.1651.28%48.43%48.54%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.792%E +0.367%K +0.683%G +0.005%3.1%2026-04-11 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:20
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.608%E -0.285%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 15:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-11 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:44
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 15:05
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:44
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:44
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:54
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 15:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 16:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 16:45
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 16:58
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:39
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 17:05
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 16:38
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 17:05
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 15:05
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:39
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:04
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:44
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:44
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:39
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:05
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:39
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:39
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:44
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -1.86%E -1.01%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 17:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:04
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:04
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 17:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-04-11 17:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-11 17:05
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%2.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-04-11 17:05
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%3.8%2026-04-11 17:04