La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inizio: 2026-04-11 17:06 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 53.34%1.87quota equa
EV -1.33%
Vantaggio -0.717%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.33%53.26%55.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.781.771.8557.80%56.25%56.34%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.66%2.14quota equa
EV +0.792%
Vantaggio +0.367%
Kelly +0.683%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.85%46.67%46.74%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.062.062.1651.28%48.43%48.54%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.792%E +0.367%K +0.683%G +0.005%3.1%2026-04-11 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:20
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.608%E -0.285%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 15:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-11 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:44
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 15:05
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:44
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:44
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:54
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 15:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 16:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 16:45
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 16:58
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:39
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 17:05
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 16:38
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 17:05
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 15:05
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:39
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:04
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:44
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:44
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:39
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:05
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:39
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:39
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:44
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -1.86%E -1.01%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 17:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:04
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:04
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 17:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 17:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-04-11 17:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-11 17:05
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%2.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-04-11 17:05
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%3.8%2026-04-11 17:04