مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-04-11 17:06 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.34%1.87السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.717%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.33%53.26%55.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.781.771.8557.80%56.25%56.34%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.66%2.14السعر العادل
EV +0.792%
الأفضلية +0.367%
Kelly +0.683%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.85%46.67%46.74%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.062.062.1651.28%48.43%48.54%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.792%E +0.367%K +0.683%G +0.005%3.1%2026-04-11 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:20
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.608%E -0.285%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 15:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-11 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:44
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 15:05
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:44
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:44
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:54
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 14:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 15:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 16:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 16:45
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 16:58
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:39
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 17:05
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 16:38
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 17:05
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 15:05
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:39
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:04
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:44
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:44
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:39
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:05
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:39
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:39
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:44
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -1.86%E -1.01%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 17:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:04
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:04
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 17:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 17:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-04-11 17:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-11 17:05
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%2.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-04-11 17:05
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%3.8%2026-04-11 17:04