Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 61.53%1.63fair odd
EV -0.939%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%61.41%61.58%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.20%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 38.47%2.60fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.59%38.42%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.492.5743.48%40.47%40.16%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 61.53%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 38.47%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -0.939%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.939%E -0.583%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.939%E -0.583%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.28%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -1.13%E -0.439%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 22:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.90%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.90%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 22:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 22:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 22:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.00% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 38.00% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-10 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-10 14:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.14% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.86% | 1.2% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |