La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-04-10 22:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 61.53%1.63momio equitativo
EV -0.939%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.34%61.41%61.58%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.20%64.10%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 38.47%2.60momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.439%
Kelly -0.718%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.59%38.42%40.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.492.5743.48%40.47%40.16%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.939%E -0.583%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-10 15:34
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.939%E -0.583%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:25
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.28%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 22:25
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 22:15
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 20:35
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -1.13%E -0.439%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-10 22:15
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-10 22:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 22:40
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 17:45
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 22:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 18:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:40
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 19:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 21:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 14:14
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:35
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:29
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.90%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 20:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.90%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 20:30
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:19
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 17:39
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 22:28
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 19:05
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:15
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:29
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 18:19
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 20:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-10 22:40
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-10 22:35
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.00%2.61I 38.31%NM 38.00%0.8%2026-04-10 22:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-10 17:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-10 14:25
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.14%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.86%1.2%2026-04-10 22:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-04-10 22:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-10 22:40