A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-04-10 22:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 61.53%1.63odd justa
EV -0.939%
Vantagem -0.583%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.34%61.41%61.58%62.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.20%64.10%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 38.47%2.60odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.439%
Kelly -0.718%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%38.59%38.42%40.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.472.492.5743.48%40.47%40.16%38.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.939%E -0.583%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-10 15:34
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.939%E -0.583%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:25
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.28%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 22:25
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 22:15
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 20:35
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -1.13%E -0.439%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-10 22:15
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-10 22:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 22:40
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 17:45
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 22:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 18:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:40
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 19:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 21:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 14:14
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:35
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:29
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.90%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 20:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.90%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 20:30
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:19
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 17:39
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 22:28
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 19:05
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:15
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:29
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 18:19
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 20:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-10 22:40
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-10 22:35
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.00%2.61I 38.31%NM 38.00%0.8%2026-04-10 22:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-10 17:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-10 14:25
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.14%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.86%1.2%2026-04-10 22:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-04-10 22:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-10 22:40