مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-04-10 22:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.53%1.63السعر العادل
EV -0.939%
الأفضلية -0.583%
Kelly -1.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.34%61.41%61.58%62.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.20%64.10%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.47%2.60السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.439%
Kelly -0.718%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.04%38.59%38.42%40.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.472.492.5743.48%40.47%40.16%38.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.939%E -0.583%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-10 15:34
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.939%E -0.583%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:25
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.28%E -0.898%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 22:25
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 22:15
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 20:35
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -1.13%E -0.439%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-10 22:15
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-10 22:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 22:40
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 17:45
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 22:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 18:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:40
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 19:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 21:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 14:14
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:35
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:29
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.90%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 20:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.90%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 20:30
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.02%E -2.57%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 21:40
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:19
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 17:39
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 22:28
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 19:05
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:15
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:29
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.90%E -0.744%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 18:19
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 20:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-10 22:40
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-10 22:35
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.00%2.61I 38.31%NM 38.00%0.8%2026-04-10 22:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-10 17:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-10 14:25
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.14%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.86%1.2%2026-04-10 22:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-04-10 22:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-10 22:40