Language:English
New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 68.08%1.47fair odd
EV -0.606%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%68.13%68.10%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4675.19%71.40%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 31.92%3.13fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +0.672%
Kelly +0.978%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%31.87%31.90%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.28%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 68.08%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 31.92%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +2.15%E +0.672%K +0.978%G +0.021% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-08-03 22:18 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.09%E -6.00%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.00%E -0.651%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -2.32%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -2.96%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -3.60%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.60%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.606%E -0.415%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.46%E -7.11%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.11%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.21%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 12:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81% | 0.4% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |