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New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-03 23:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 63.49%1.58fair odd
EV -0.958%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.49%63.53%64.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5668.97%66.32%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 36.51%2.74fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.02%36.51%36.47%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.602.8040.82%38.38%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Yankees (Local): 63.49%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 36.51%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.80, producing a positive expected value of +2.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%EV +2.23%E +0.798%K +1.24%G +0.028%1.5%2026-08-03 02:55
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV +0.408%E +0.148%K +0.233%G +0.001%1.3%2026-08-03 02:55
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.05%E -0.389%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 02:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.05%E -0.389%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 02:10
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -1.05%E -0.389%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-03 03:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.42%E -0.525%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 02:09
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.42%E -0.525%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 02:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.42%E -0.525%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.42%E -0.525%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 03:00
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -1.78%E -0.663%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 02:55
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.88%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 02:14
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 02:54
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:14
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 02:55
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:14
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:13
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 02:58
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:04
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 03:14
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 03:14
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 03:15
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.958%E -0.614%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 19:20
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.97%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 02:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:54
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:55
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 02:55
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.70%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:14
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 03:29
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 03:29
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 03:29
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 03:29
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 23:13
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 02:39
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:34
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:40
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:39
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:49
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 03:39
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 02:14
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.16%E -2.40%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.16%E -2.40%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.53%E -2.55%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 02:54
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 02:54
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 21:34
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:29
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:30
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:11
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:10
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 23:55
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.45%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 03:29
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.55%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.55%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-03 03:25
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-03 03:20
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-02 21:30
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-03 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-03 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-03 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-03 03:15
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-03 02:10
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-08-03 03:15
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.18%1xBet 1.56 (64.2%) / FanDuel 2.80 (35.8%)Show details
New York Yankees (Local)St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)Margin
1xBet 1.56 (64.2%)FanDuel 2.80 (35.8%)+0.183%