Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-03 23:06 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 7–13 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 68.08%1.47cote équitable
EV -0.606%
Avantage -0.415%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%68.13%68.10%69.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.401.401.4675.19%71.40%71.43%68.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.92%3.13cote équitable
EV +2.15%
Avantage +0.672%
Kelly +0.978%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.34%31.87%31.90%34.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.28%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Yankees (Local) : 68.08% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 31.92%. Pour St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.13. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.20, soit une espérance positive de +2.15%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +2.15%E +0.672%K +0.978%G +0.021%1.2%2026-08-03 22:14
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-03 22:18
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-03 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-03 22:19
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:19
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.09%E -6.00%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.00%E -0.651%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -2.32%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 22:55
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 22:15
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -2.96%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 22:25
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -3.60%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:19
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.60%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:55
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.606%E -0.415%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-03 22:04
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 22:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:09
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:14
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:14
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 22:14
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.46%E -7.11%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.11%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:15
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:14
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 22:59
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.21%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-08-03 23:05
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-03 23:05
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-03 22:15
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-03 22:35
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-08-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-03 23:00
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-03 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%4.0%2026-08-03 22:40