Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-08-03 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 7–13 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 68.08%1.47odd justa
EV -0.606%
Vantagem -0.415%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%68.13%68.10%69.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.401.401.4675.19%71.40%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 31.92%3.13odd justa
EV +2.15%
Vantagem +0.672%
Kelly +0.978%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.34%31.87%31.90%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.28%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 68.08%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 31.92%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.13. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.15%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +2.15%E +0.672%K +0.978%G +0.021%1.2%2026-08-03 22:14
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-03 22:18
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-03 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.555%E +0.176%K +0.258%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-03 22:19
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:19
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.09%E -6.00%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.04%E -0.336%K -0.496%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.00%E -0.651%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -2.32%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 22:55
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 22:15
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.64%E -0.865%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -2.96%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 22:25
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -3.60%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:19
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.60%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:55
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.606%E -0.415%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-03 22:04
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 22:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:09
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:14
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.23%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:14
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 22:14
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.46%E -7.11%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.11%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:15
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:14
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 22:59
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.97%E -1.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.21%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 12:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-08-03 23:05
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-03 23:05
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-03 22:15
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-03 22:35
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-08-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-03 23:00
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-03 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%4.0%2026-08-03 22:40