Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-03 23:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 63.57%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%63.52%63.70%64.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.461.511.511.5468.49%66.38%66.23%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 36.43%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.537%
Ventaja +0.195%
Kelly +0.305%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.52%36.48%36.30%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.612.602.7640.82%38.34%38.46%36.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New York Yankees (Local): 63.57%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 36.43%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.75. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.76, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.537%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV +0.537%E +0.195%K +0.305%G +0.002%1.6%2026-08-03 04:00
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV +0.173%E +0.063%K +0.099%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-03 02:55
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.555%E -0.203%K -0.321%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 04:20
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.28%E -0.474%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 02:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.28%E -0.474%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 02:10
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 04:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 02:09
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 02:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 03:00
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 04:08
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 02:14
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 02:54
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:14
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 02:55
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:14
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 02:58
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:04
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 03:14
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 03:14
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 03:15
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.18%E -4.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 03:59
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.18%E -4.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 04:25
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:54
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:55
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:04
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 02:55
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:14
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 03:29
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 03:29
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 03:29
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 03:29
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 23:13
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 04:35
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:34
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:40
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:39
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:54
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:49
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 02:14
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.38%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.38%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 02:54
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 02:54
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 21:34
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:29
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:30
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 03:29
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:11
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:10
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 04:09
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:10
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.66%E -3.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 03:29
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-03 04:25
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-03 04:30
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-02 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-08-03 04:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-08-03 04:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-08-03 04:30
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-08-03 04:04
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-03 02:10
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-08-03 04:05