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New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 64.88%1.54fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.85%64.88%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5271.43%67.73%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 35.12%2.85fair odd
EV +1.86%
Edge +0.640%
Kelly +0.976%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%35.15%35.12%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.702.9039.22%36.86%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 64.88%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 35.12%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +1.86%E +0.640%K +0.976%G +0.018% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV +0.450%E +0.157%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV +0.099%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.252%E -0.089%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.252%E -0.089%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.604%E -0.213%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.955%E -0.339%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -1.39%E -0.912%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -2.01%E -0.720%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.36%E -0.849%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.36%E -0.849%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.39%E -0.912%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.71%E -0.979%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| ReBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| 888sport | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -5.52%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| betano_uk | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |