Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-08-04 23:06 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 64.88%1.54odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.912%
Kelly -2.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.96%64.85%64.88%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.481.481.5271.43%67.73%67.57%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 35.12%2.85odd justa
EV +1.86%
Vantagem +0.640%
Kelly +0.976%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.33%35.15%35.12%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.712.702.9039.22%36.86%37.04%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 64.88%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 35.12%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.85. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +1.86%E +0.640%K +0.976%G +0.018%1.1%2026-08-04 22:29
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV +0.450%E +0.157%K +0.242%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-04 22:20
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV +0.099%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.252%E -0.089%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:19
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.252%E -0.089%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:19
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.604%E -0.213%K -0.330%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:18
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.955%E -0.339%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:20
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:19
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -1.39%E -0.912%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -2.01%E -0.720%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 23:04
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.36%E -0.849%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 22:25
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.36%E -0.849%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:19
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.39%E -0.912%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.71%E -0.979%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 22:30
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:19
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:04
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:35
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:19
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:19
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:04
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:34
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:35
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 22:29
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:04
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:50
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -5.52%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:39
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:05
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:30
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:04
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:05
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 22:39
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 23:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:55
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:40
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-08-04 23:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.8%2026-08-04 23:05