Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 23:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 64.88%1.54cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.912%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%64.85%64.88%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.481.5271.43%67.73%67.57%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.12%2.85cote équitable
EV +1.86%
Avantage +0.640%
Kelly +0.976%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%35.15%35.12%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.712.702.9039.22%36.86%37.04%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Yankees (Local) : 64.88% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 35.12%. Pour St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.85. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.90, soit une espérance positive de +1.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +1.86%E +0.640%K +0.976%G +0.018%1.1%2026-08-04 22:29
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV +0.450%E +0.157%K +0.242%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-04 22:20
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV +0.099%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.252%E -0.089%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:19
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.252%E -0.089%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:19
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.604%E -0.213%K -0.330%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:18
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.955%E -0.339%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:20
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:19
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -1.39%E -0.912%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -2.01%E -0.720%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 23:04
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.36%E -0.849%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 22:25
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.36%E -0.849%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:19
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.39%E -0.912%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.71%E -0.979%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 22:30
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:19
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:04
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:35
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:19
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:19
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:04
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:34
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:35
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 22:29
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:04
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:05
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:50
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -5.52%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:39
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:05
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:30
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:04
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:05
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 22:39
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 23:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:55
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:40
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-08-04 23:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.8%2026-08-04 23:05