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New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Yankees (Local)
Predicción 64.88%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.96%64.85%64.88%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.5271.43%67.73%67.57%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)
Predicción 35.12%2.85momio equitativo
EV +1.86%
Ventaja +0.640%
Kelly +0.976%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%35.15%35.12%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.712.702.9039.22%36.86%37.04%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 64.88%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 35.12%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.85. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +1.86%E +0.640%K +0.976%G +0.018% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV +0.450%E +0.157%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV +0.099%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.252%E -0.089%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.252%E -0.089%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.604%E -0.213%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.955%E -0.339%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.66%E -0.592%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -1.39%E -0.912%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -2.01%E -0.720%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.36%E -0.849%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.36%E -0.849%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.39%E -0.912%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.71%E -0.979%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| ReBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| 888sport | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -5.52%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.93%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| betano_uk | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |