The School of Odds
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New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners

2026-08-11 23:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 54.35%1.84fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.38%54.29%54.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.10%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 45.65%2.19fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.16%45.62%45.71%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.092.102.1651.02%47.81%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Yankees (Local): 54.35%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 45.65%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.16, with an expected value of -1.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.651%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-10 21:29
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.86%E -0.866%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 22:24
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.86%E -0.866%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 22:23
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.78%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.78%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.25%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.41%E -0.651%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 21:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 19:50
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:24
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 22:34
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 22:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:30
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:28
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:44
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:38
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.97%E -2.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:34
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 22:34
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 00:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.54%E -5.38%K -10.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-10 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-10 23:30
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-08-11 01:10
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-08-11 01:20
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%9.8%2026-08-10 22:40

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