Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-08-11 23:08 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–1 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 54.83%1.82odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.722%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.81%54.80%54.83%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.741.741.8060.24%57.49%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 45.17%2.21odd justa
EV -0.635%
Vantagem -0.288%
Kelly -0.529%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.20%45.17%46.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.122.122.2049.02%47.08%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 54.83%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 45.17%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.21. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.20, com valor esperado de -0.635%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.30%E -0.722%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.44%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-10 21:29
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.30%E -0.722%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.44%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.85%E -1.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.44%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-11 19:45
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.40%E -1.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.99%E -0.917%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.40%E -1.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 23:04
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.635%E -0.288%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 22:39
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.635%E -0.288%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.635%E -0.288%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.54%E -0.705%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.54%E -0.705%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 15:24
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 15:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.41%E -3.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.705%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.705%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.705%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 22:34
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 23:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 22:58
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 21:10
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 22:14
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.41%E -3.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 23:03
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.41%E -3.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 19:09
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 21:09
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 11:50
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 19:44
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.60%E -2.68%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:24
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.41%E -3.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.44%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.44%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 22:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -2.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 21:54
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -2.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 21:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:10
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.41%E -3.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:00
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:00
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.41%E -3.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 11:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.23%E -3.65%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.23%E -3.65%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.25%E -2.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.25%E -2.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.33%E -4.34%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.86%E -3.85%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 22:38
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.98%E -5.41%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-11 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-11 23:04
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-08-11 23:05
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-11 19:25
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-11 22:59
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-08-11 23:05
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-08-11 23:05