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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners

2026-08-11 23:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 54.35%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.40%54.29%54.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.09%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 45.65%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.651%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.16%45.60%45.71%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.79%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New York Yankees (Local): 54.35%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 45.65%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.19. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.16, con un valor esperado de -1.41%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.651%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-10 21:29
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.86%E -0.866%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 22:24
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.86%E -0.866%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 22:23
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.78%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.78%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.25%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.41%E -0.651%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 21:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 19:50
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:24
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 22:34
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 22:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:30
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:28
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:44
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:38
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.97%E -2.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:34
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 22:34
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 00:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-11 01:24
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-10 23:30
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-08-10 23:35
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%2.7%2026-08-11 02:00
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%9.8%2026-08-10 22:40

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