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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners

2026-08-11 23:06 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Yankees (主队)

预测 54.35%1.84公平赔率
EV -2.16%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -2.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.66%54.40%54.29%54.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.09%57.14%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Seattle Mariners (客队)

预测 45.65%2.19公平赔率
EV -1.41%
优势 -0.651%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.16

博彩公司预测分布
45.16%45.60%45.71%46.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.79%47.62%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：New York Yankees (主队)：54.35%；Seattle Mariners (客队)：45.65%。 对于“Seattle Mariners (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.16，期望值为-1.41%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.651%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-10 21:29
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.86%E -0.866%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 22:24
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.86%E -0.866%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 22:23
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.78%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.78%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.25%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.41%E -0.651%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 21:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 19:50
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:24
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 22:34
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 22:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:30
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:29
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 00:28
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:44
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:38
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.97%E -2.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:34
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 22:34
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 00:29
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-11 01:24
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-10 23:30
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-08-11 02:05
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%9.8%2026-08-10 22:40

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