Language:English
New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 63.44%1.58fair odd
EV +4.67%
Edge +2.83%
Kelly +7.19%
Growth +0.336%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.36%63.16%63.41%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.6569.44%66.27%66.67%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 36.56%2.74fair odd
EV -0.921%
Edge -0.340%
Kelly -0.538%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.84%36.59%40.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.622.7141.67%38.49%38.17%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 63.44%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 36.56%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +4.67%E +2.83%K +7.19%G +0.336% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -11.89%E -4.93%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -0.400%E -0.255%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.25%E -5.11%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.76%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.76%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 17:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.02%E -0.753%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 16:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 16:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.01%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
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