Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-07-22 17:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 3–5 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 63.44%1.58momio equitativo
EV +4.67%
Ventaja +2.83%
Kelly +7.19%
Crecimiento +0.336%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.36%63.16%63.41%64.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.6569.44%66.27%66.67%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 36.56%2.74momio equitativo
EV -0.921%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.538%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%36.84%36.59%40.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.622.7141.67%38.49%38.17%36.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 63.44%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 36.56%. Para New York Yankees (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.58. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.67%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +4.67%E +2.83%K +7.19%G +0.336%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -11.89%E -4.93%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -0.400%E -0.255%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.25%E -5.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:04
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 15:54
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 16:59
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 16:59
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 16:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 16:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 16:09
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:03
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 17:04
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 17:04
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 16:59
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:04
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.02%E -0.753%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 17:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 16:59
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:03
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 16:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 16:58
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 17:04
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.01%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-07-22 17:04
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-07-22 17:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-22 17:05
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-22 17:05
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-07-22 17:05
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%6.3%2026-07-22 17:05