مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates

البداية: 2026-07-22 17:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Yankees 3–5 Pittsburgh Pirates

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Yankees (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.44%1.58السعر العادل
EV +4.67%
الأفضلية +2.83%
Kelly +7.19%
النمو +0.336%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.36%63.16%63.41%64.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.511.501.6569.44%66.27%66.67%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.56%2.74السعر العادل
EV -0.921%
الأفضلية -0.340%
Kelly -0.538%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.47%36.84%36.59%40.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.602.622.7141.67%38.49%38.17%36.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +4.67%E +2.83%K +7.19%G +0.336%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -11.89%E -4.93%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 13:39
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -0.400%E -0.255%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.25%E -5.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:04
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 16:54
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 15:54
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 15:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 16:59
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 16:59
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 16:55
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 16:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 16:09
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:03
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 17:04
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 17:04
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 16:59
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 16:59
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:04
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:00
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:04
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 16:55
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.02%E -0.753%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 17:04
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 17:04
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 16:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 16:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:03
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 16:55
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:00
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 16:58
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 16:58
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 17:04
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.01%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 17:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-07-22 17:04
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-07-22 17:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-22 17:05
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-22 17:05
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-07-22 17:05
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%6.3%2026-07-22 17:05