L’École des cotes

New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 17:06 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 3–5 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 63.44%1.58cote équitable
EV +4.67%
Avantage +2.83%
Kelly +7.19%
Croissance +0.336%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.36%63.16%63.41%64.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.6569.44%66.27%66.67%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.56%2.74cote équitable
EV -0.921%
Avantage -0.340%
Kelly -0.538%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.47%36.84%36.59%40.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.622.7141.67%38.49%38.17%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +4.67%E +2.83%K +7.19%G +0.336%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -11.89%E -4.93%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 13:39
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -0.400%E -0.255%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.25%E -5.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:04
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 16:54
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 15:54
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.30%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 15:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 16:59
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 16:59
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 16:55
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 16:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 16:09
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:03
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 17:04
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -0.921%E -0.340%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 17:04
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 16:59
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 16:59
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:04
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:00
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:04
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 16:55
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.02%E -0.753%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 17:04
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 17:04
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 16:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 16:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:03
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 16:55
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:00
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 16:58
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 16:58
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.48%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 17:04
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.38%E -0.893%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 17:04
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.01%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-07-22 17:04
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-07-22 17:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-22 17:05
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-22 17:05
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-22 17:05
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-07-22 17:05
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%6.3%2026-07-22 17:05