Language:English
New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 62.57%1.60fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.722%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%62.54%62.50%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.531.5866.67%65.33%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 37.43%2.67fair odd
EV -0.807%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.46%37.50%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.542.542.6540.82%39.43%39.45%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 62.57%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 37.43%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.807%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.14%E -0.722%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.56%E -0.592%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 20:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -1.93%E -0.737%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-01 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.807%E -0.305%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-01 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 16:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 20:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 20:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.67%E -2.25%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 23:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.30%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 22:53 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15% | 0.1% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 13:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 15:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 21:50 |