La scuola delle quote

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-05-01 23:06 UTC

Finale: New York Yankees 7–2 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Yankees (Casa)

Previsione 62.57%1.60quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.722%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.25%62.54%62.50%63.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.531.531.5866.67%65.33%65.36%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.43%2.67quota equa
EV -0.807%
Vantaggio -0.305%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.59%37.46%37.50%38.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.542.542.6540.82%39.43%39.45%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.14%E -0.722%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 15:50
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.56%E -0.592%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 23:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-01 22:55
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:50
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -1.93%E -0.737%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-01 20:50
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:44
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 16:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 13:59
Everygame1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.807%E -0.305%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-01 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:55
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 16:29
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:50
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 13:19
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 16:09
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 13:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:49
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 19:10
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.67%E -2.25%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 15:34
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 15:24
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:29
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:03
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.30%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 13:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 22:54
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:14
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:04
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:15
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 22:53
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 22:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85%2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15%0.1%2026-05-01 23:00
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-01 22:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-01 13:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-01 15:09
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-05-01 21:50