Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 23:06 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 7–2 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 62.57%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.722%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.25%62.54%62.50%63.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.531.531.5866.67%65.33%65.36%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.43%2.67cote équitable
EV -0.807%
Avantage -0.305%
Kelly -0.489%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%37.46%37.50%38.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.542.542.6540.82%39.43%39.45%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Yankees (Local) : 62.57% ; Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur) : 37.43%. Pour Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.67. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.65, pour une espérance de -0.807% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.14%E -0.722%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.56%E -0.592%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 23:00
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-01 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:50
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -1.93%E -0.737%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-01 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:44
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 13:59
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.807%E -0.305%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-01 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 16:29
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 13:19
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 16:09
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 20:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:00
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 13:54
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:49
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.67%E -2.25%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 15:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:30
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:03
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.30%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 22:54
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:04
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 22:53
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 22:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85%2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15%0.1%2026-05-01 23:00
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-01 22:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-01 13:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-01 15:09
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-05-01 21:50