La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-05-01 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 7–2 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 62.57%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.722%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%62.54%62.50%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.531.531.5866.67%65.33%65.36%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 37.43%2.67momio equitativo
EV -0.807%
Ventaja -0.305%
Kelly -0.489%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.46%37.50%38.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.542.542.6540.82%39.43%39.45%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.14%E -0.722%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 15:50
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.56%E -0.592%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 23:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-01 22:55
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:50
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -1.93%E -0.737%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-01 20:50
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:44
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 16:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 13:59
Everygame1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.807%E -0.305%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-01 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:55
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 16:29
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:50
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 13:19
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:55
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 16:09
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 13:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:49
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 19:10
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.67%E -2.25%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 15:34
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 15:24
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 16:29
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 22:55
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:03
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.30%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 13:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 22:54
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:14
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:04
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:15
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 22:53
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 22:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85%2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15%0.1%2026-05-01 23:00
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-01 23:04
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-01 22:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-01 13:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-01 15:09
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-05-01 21:50