Language:English
New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 54.39%1.84fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.34%54.26%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.761.8060.61%56.97%56.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.159%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%45.66%45.74%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.102.2051.55%47.82%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 54.39%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 45.61%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.349%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.349%E +0.159%K +0.291%G +0.001% | 2.0% | 2026-06-27 19:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-27 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-27 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-27 19:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-27 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-27 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-27 20:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.37%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.93%E -0.898%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-27 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 19:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-27 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 20:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.37%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 19:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 19:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.26%E -6.22%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 21:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 21:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 21:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.49%E -3.17%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.49%E -3.17%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-27 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 21:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 21:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 21:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.51%E -5.93%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-27 21:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 13:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24% | 12.1% | 2026-06-27 21:20 |