مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-06-27 21:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 6–2 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.39%1.84السعر العادل
EV -2.10%
الأفضلية -1.17%
Kelly -2.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.63%54.34%54.26%56.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.761.761.8060.61%56.97%56.82%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.61%2.19السعر العادل
EV +0.349%
الأفضلية +0.159%
Kelly +0.291%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.00%45.66%45.74%47.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.092.102.2051.55%47.82%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.349%E +0.159%K +0.291%G +0.001%2.0%2026-06-27 19:39
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 19:40
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 20:50
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 19:49
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.37%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.93%E -0.898%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 19:40
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 21:10
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 19:28
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 21:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 17:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:59
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 19:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:50
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.37%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:49
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:49
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.26%E -6.22%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:09
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:09
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 19:19
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:09
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:09
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.49%E -3.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 21:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.49%E -3.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-27 17:49
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 21:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 21:19
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 21:19
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.51%E -5.93%K -12.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 21:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-27 20:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-27 13:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-27 21:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-27 21:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%6.1%2026-06-27 21:20
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%12.1%2026-06-27 21:20