La scuola delle quote

New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-06-27 21:21 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 6–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 54.39%1.84quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.34%54.26%56.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.761.761.8060.61%56.97%56.82%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.61%2.19quota equa
EV +0.349%
Vantaggio +0.159%
Kelly +0.291%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.00%45.66%45.74%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.092.102.2051.55%47.82%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.349%E +0.159%K +0.291%G +0.001%2.0%2026-06-27 19:39
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 19:40
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 20:50
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 19:49
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.37%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.93%E -0.898%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 19:40
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 21:10
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 19:28
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 21:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 17:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:59
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 19:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:50
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.37%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:49
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:49
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.26%E -6.22%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:09
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:09
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 19:19
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:09
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:09
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.49%E -3.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 21:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.49%E -3.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-27 17:49
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 21:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 21:19
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 21:19
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.51%E -5.93%K -12.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 21:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-27 20:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-27 13:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-27 21:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-27 21:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%6.1%2026-06-27 21:20
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%12.1%2026-06-27 21:20