La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-06-27 21:21 UTC

Final: New York Mets 6–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 54.39%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.34%54.26%56.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.761.8060.61%56.97%56.82%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 45.61%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.349%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.291%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.00%45.66%45.74%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.092.102.2051.55%47.82%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.349%E +0.159%K +0.291%G +0.001%2.0%2026-06-27 19:39
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 19:40
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 20:50
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.563%E -0.258%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 19:49
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.48%E -0.683%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 20:49
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.37%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.93%E -0.898%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 19:40
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 21:10
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 19:28
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 21:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 17:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 13:59
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 19:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:50
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:49
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.37%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:49
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 19:49
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.26%E -6.22%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:09
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:09
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 21:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 19:19
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:09
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:09
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.28%E -2.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:20
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.49%E -3.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 21:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.49%E -3.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-27 17:49
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 21:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 21:19
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 21:19
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.82%E -2.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.77%E -4.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.51%E -5.93%K -12.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 21:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-27 21:20
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-27 20:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-27 13:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-27 21:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-27 21:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%6.1%2026-06-27 21:20
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%12.1%2026-06-27 21:20