The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New York Mets v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 17:41 UTC

Final: New York Mets 7–6 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -0.015%
Edge -0.008%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.92%53.15%53.25%54.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.8858.82%55.17%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 46.82%2.14fair odd
EV +0.655%
Edge +0.305%
Kelly +0.570%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%46.85%46.75%49.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.012.002.1552.91%49.68%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 53.18%; New York Yankees (Visit): 46.82%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.655%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.655%E +0.305%K +0.570%G +0.004%2.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:35
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:15
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 17:39
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:25
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:29
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:39
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:39
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.015%E -0.008%K -0.017%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:19
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.84%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.77%E -3.95%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:29
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.64%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.64%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -11.52%E -6.09%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-05-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-17 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-17 17:40
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-17 17:40
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Novig◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-17 17:40
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-05-17 17:10