La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-05-17 17:41 UTC

Final: New York Mets 7–6 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 53.18%1.88momio equitativo
EV -0.015%
Ventaja -0.008%
Kelly -0.017%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.92%53.15%53.25%54.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.801.8858.82%55.17%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 46.82%2.14momio equitativo
EV +0.655%
Ventaja +0.305%
Kelly +0.570%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.57%46.85%46.75%49.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.012.002.1552.91%49.68%50.00%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.655%E +0.305%K +0.570%G +0.004%2.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:35
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:35
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:15
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:25
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 17:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 17:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:29
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:40
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:39
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:35
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.015%E -0.008%K -0.017%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:25
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.84%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.77%E -3.95%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:29
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.64%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.64%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:40
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:40
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -11.52%E -6.09%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-05-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-17 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-17 17:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-17 17:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-17 17:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-05-17 17:10