A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-05-17 17:41 UTC

Final: New York Mets 7–6 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 53.18%1.88odd justa
EV -0.015%
Vantagem -0.008%
Kelly -0.017%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.92%53.15%53.25%54.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.811.801.8858.82%55.17%55.56%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 46.82%2.14odd justa
EV +0.655%
Vantagem +0.305%
Kelly +0.570%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.57%46.85%46.75%49.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.892.012.002.1552.91%49.68%50.00%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.655%E +0.305%K +0.570%G +0.004%2.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:35
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:35
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:15
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:25
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 17:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 17:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:29
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:40
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:39
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:35
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.015%E -0.008%K -0.017%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:25
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.84%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.77%E -3.95%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:29
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.64%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.64%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:40
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:40
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -11.52%E -6.09%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-05-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-17 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-17 17:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-17 17:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-17 17:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-05-17 17:10