مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 7–6 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.18%1.88السعر العادل
EV -0.015%
الأفضلية -0.008%
Kelly -0.017%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.92%53.15%53.25%54.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.811.801.8858.82%55.17%55.56%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.82%2.14السعر العادل
EV +0.655%
الأفضلية +0.305%
Kelly +0.570%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.57%46.85%46.75%49.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.892.012.002.1552.91%49.68%50.00%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.655%E +0.305%K +0.570%G +0.004%2.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:35
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.281%E -0.132%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:35
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:15
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.69%E -0.803%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:25
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 17:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 17:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 17:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:29
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:40
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:39
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:35
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.015%E -0.008%K -0.017%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:25
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.84%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.77%E -3.95%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:29
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.546%E -0.292%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.64%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.61%E -0.870%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.64%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:40
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.67%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:40
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -11.52%E -6.09%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 17:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-05-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-17 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-17 17:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-17 17:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-17 17:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-05-17 17:10