The School of Odds
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New York Mets v Miami Marlins

2026-07-30 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 54.35%1.84fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.63%54.37%54.29%55.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.07%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 45.65%2.19fair odd
EV -0.484%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.87%45.63%45.71%46.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.092.102.1851.02%47.83%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.17%E -1.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.85%E -0.862%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 23:00
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.71%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.31%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 22:55
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.71%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 02:00
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.484%E -0.222%K -0.411%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 22:00
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.941%E -0.434%K -0.804%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 22:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.40%E -0.647%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.40%E -0.647%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 22:00
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 18:38
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.80%E -2.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.80%E -2.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 18:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.80%E -2.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 18:35
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.80%E -2.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 18:49
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.80%E -2.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 19:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.80%E -2.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.80%E -2.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:00
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.80%E -2.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 00:20
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.59%E -2.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 18:45
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.59%E -2.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:45
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 18:30
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.34%E -2.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 18:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.85%E -0.862%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 23:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:00
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 18:35
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:20
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:20
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:20
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:25
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 01:55
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 18:35
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 23:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 18:30
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 22:50
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 18:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 18:33
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.89%E -2.79%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 00:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.43%E -3.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 22:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.43%E -3.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 00:20
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.43%E -3.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.43%E -3.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 00:25
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.43%E -3.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 18:34
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.43%E -3.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 01:05
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.43%E -3.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 23:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 18:30
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 18:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 18:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -9.16%E -4.60%K -9.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 23:10
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.69%E -5.17%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.69%E -5.17%K -12.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.53%E -5.37%K -10.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-29 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-07-30 01:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 00:50
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 02:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-29 18:55
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.3%2026-07-30 02:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-29 23:35
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%9.1%2026-07-29 21:20