StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

Matchstart: 2026-07-31 00:16 UTC

Slutresultat: New York Mets 4–2 Miami Marlins

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

New York Mets (Hemma)

Prognos 53.72%1.86rättvist odds
EV +0.447%
Fördel +0.239%
Kelly +0.514%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.59%53.69%53.78%55.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.681.781.761.8759.52%56.31%56.82%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Borta)

Prognos 46.28%2.16rättvist odds
EV -0.487%
Fördel -0.227%
Kelly -0.424%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.70%46.31%46.22%48.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.942.062.052.1551.55%48.52%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: New York Mets (Hemma): 53.72%; Miami Marlins (Borta): 46.28%. För New York Mets (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.86. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.87, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.447%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 00:10
Everygame🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.090%E -0.048%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -0.090%E -0.048%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -6.04%E -2.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 00:14
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.627%E -0.339%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 00:10
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.70%E -0.930%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 00:10
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.70%E -0.930%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.74%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -6.97%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 00:15
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:55
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:54
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 22:20
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.39%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.39%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 22:20
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.487%E -0.227%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 22:55
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 00:14
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 20:45
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 00:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:55
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 23:44
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.21%E -5.26%K -10.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 00:15
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.76%E -5.81%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 22:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (9)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-31 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-31 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-31 00:15
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-31 00:09
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-30 22:10
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 23:10
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-07-31 00:15
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%10.4%2026-07-31 00:15
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79%10.7%2026-07-30 23:50