默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

开赛时间: 2026-07-31 00:16 UTC

最终结果: New York Mets 4–2 Miami Marlins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 53.72%1.86公平赔率
EV +0.447%
优势 +0.239%
Kelly +0.514%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
51.59%53.69%53.78%55.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.781.761.8759.52%56.31%56.82%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 46.28%2.16公平赔率
EV -0.487%
优势 -0.227%
Kelly -0.424%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
44.70%46.31%46.22%48.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.062.052.1551.55%48.52%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Mets (主队):53.72%;Miami Marlins (客队):46.28%。 对于“New York Mets (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.86。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.87,对应+0.447%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 00:10
Everygame🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.090%E -0.048%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -0.090%E -0.048%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -6.04%E -2.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 00:14
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.627%E -0.339%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 00:10
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.70%E -0.930%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 00:10
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.70%E -0.930%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.74%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -6.97%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 00:15
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:55
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:54
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 22:20
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.39%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.39%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 22:20
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.487%E -0.227%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 22:55
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 22:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 00:14
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 20:45
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 00:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:55
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 23:44
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.21%E -5.26%K -10.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 00:15
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.76%E -5.81%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 22:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-31 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-31 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-31 00:15
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-31 00:09
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-30 22:10
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 23:10
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-07-31 00:15
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%10.4%2026-07-31 00:15
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79%10.7%2026-07-30 23:50