Język:Polski
New York Mets v Miami Marlins
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
New York Mets (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 53.72%1.86kurs godziwy
EV +0.447%
Przewaga +0.239%
Kelly +0.514%
Wzrost +0.002%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.87
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.59%53.69%53.78%55.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.681.781.761.8759.52%56.31%56.82%53.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Miami Marlins (Goście)
Prognoza 46.28%2.16kurs godziwy
EV -0.487%
Przewaga -0.227%
Kelly -0.424%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.15
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.70%46.31%46.22%48.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.942.062.052.1551.55%48.52%48.78%46.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: New York Mets (Gospodarze): 53.72%; Miami Marlins (Goście): 46.28%. Dla wyniku New York Mets (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.86. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.87, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.447%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.447%E +0.239%K +0.514%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.090%E -0.048%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-30 23:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -0.090%E -0.048%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -6.04%E -2.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-31 00:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.627%E -0.339%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.70%E -0.930%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.70%E -0.930%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.74%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -6.97%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 23:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.39%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.39%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 20:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.487%E -0.227%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 00:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 23:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.950%E -0.444%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 21:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.21%E -5.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.76%E -5.81%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-30 22:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-30 22:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66% | 10.4% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79% | 10.7% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |