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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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New York Mets v Miami Marlins

2026-08-01 20:11 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 54.32%1.84公平赔率
EV -2.22%
优势 -1.23%
Kelly -2.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.66%54.38%54.26%54.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.24%57.14%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 45.68%2.19公平赔率
EV -0.421%
优势 -0.193%
Kelly -0.357%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.18

博彩公司预测分布
45.03%45.62%45.74%46.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.982.092.102.1850.51%47.95%47.62%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：New York Mets (主队)：54.32%；Miami Marlins (客队)：45.68%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.18，期望值为-0.421%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.22%E -1.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.79%E -0.833%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:54
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.22%E -1.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.79%E -0.833%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 18:19
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.76%E -1.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.421%E -0.193%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 16:54
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.76%E -1.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.878%E -0.405%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 20:08
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 16:54
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 17:49
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.53%E -2.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 16:54
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 16:54
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 17:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 20:04
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 16:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 16:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.90%E -2.87%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 20:04
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:00
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:19
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 20:04
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 20:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.57%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 16:54
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.11%E -4.16%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 20:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-07-31 16:55
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-31 19:50
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-07-31 20:08
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%10.0%2026-07-31 20:05