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New York Mets v Miami Marlins
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
New York Mets (Хозяева)
Прогноз 54.34%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.18%
Преимущество -1.21%
Kelly -2.72%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.33%54.33%54.26%55.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.10%57.14%55.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Miami Marlins (Гости)
Прогноз 45.66%2.19справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.442%
Преимущество +0.201%
Kelly +0.368%
Рост +0.002%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.44%45.67%45.74%46.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.962.102.102.2051.02%47.70%47.62%45.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: New York Mets (Хозяева): 54.34%; Miami Marlins (Гости): 45.66%. Для исхода «Miami Marlins (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.19. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.442%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.471%E -0.216%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 18:37 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 19:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 18:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.67%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 09:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 20:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 10:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 10:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.16%E -4.83%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.58%E -2.19%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 08:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 18:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.70%E -5.18%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 19:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -10.52%E -5.36%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 0.3% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92% | 2.6% | 2026-08-01 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:25 |