Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

Początek: 2026-08-01 20:31 UTC

Wynik końcowy: New York Mets 2–6 Miami Marlins

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

New York Mets (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 54.34%1.84kurs godziwy
EV -2.18%
Przewaga -1.21%
Kelly -2.72%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.33%54.33%54.26%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.10%57.14%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Miami Marlins (Goście)

Prognoza 45.66%2.19kurs godziwy
EV +0.442%
Przewaga +0.201%
Kelly +0.368%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.44%45.67%45.74%46.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.962.102.102.2051.02%47.70%47.62%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: New York Mets (Gospodarze): 54.34%; Miami Marlins (Goście): 45.66%. Dla wyniku Miami Marlins (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.19. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.20, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.442%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002%2.0%2026-08-01 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002%2.0%2026-08-01 20:05
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002%2.0%2026-08-01 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.471%E -0.216%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 18:30
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 20:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 18:37
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 19:29
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 20:09
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 18:28
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.67%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 09:54
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:09
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:30
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:25
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:29
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:19
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 10:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 10:04
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 09:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 20:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.16%E -4.83%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.58%E -2.19%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 08:39
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 08:34
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 18:29
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.70%E -5.18%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:14
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.69%E -4.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 20:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -10.52%E -5.36%K -10.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 20:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%0.3%2026-08-01 20:09
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 17:49
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-01 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-01 20:20
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-08-01 20:25
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-08-01 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-08-01 20:25
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%2.6%2026-08-01 20:25
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%5.4%2026-08-01 20:25