The School of Odds

New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-08 23:11 — MLB

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Option 1: New York Mets (Local)

1.5066.67%Min
1.5664.19%Mean
1.5664.10%Median
1.6162.11%Max
60.00%1.667Min
62.96%1.588Max
61.33%1.631Mean
61.10%1.637Median
61.19%1.634IQM
61.38%1.629Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.61 under the IQM model: 61.19%

EV -1.48%Edge -0.919%Kelly -2.42%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Kansas City Royals (Visit)

2.3842.02%Min
2.4640.57%Mean
2.4540.82%Median
2.6038.46%Max
37.04%2.700Min
40.00%2.500Max
38.67%2.586Mean
38.90%2.571Median
38.81%2.577IQM
38.62%2.589Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 38.81%

EV +0.898%Edge +0.345%Kelly +0.561%Growth +0.005%

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNew York Mets (Local)Kansas City Royals (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.57I 63.69% NM 62.35%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 37.65%EV +0.898% E +0.345% K +0.561% G +0.005%2.2%2026-07-08 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69% NM 62.17%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.58I 38.76% NM 37.83%EV +0.122% E +0.047% K +0.077% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 15:34
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69% NM 62.17%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.58I 38.76% NM 37.83%EV +0.122% E +0.047% K +0.077% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 15:35
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29% NM 61.93%EV -3.31% E -2.10% K -5.72% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 38.07%EV -0.266% E -0.104% K -0.170% G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 17:09
Everygame1.57I 63.69% NM 62.08%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 37.92%EV -0.266% E -0.104% K -0.170% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -8.21% E -5.47% K -16.42% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -1.04% E -0.409% K -0.673% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:39
BetUS1.57I 63.69% NM 61.80%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 38.20%EV -1.43% E -0.563% K -0.929% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 15:30
BetAnything1.59I 62.89% NM 61.41%EV -2.70% E -1.70% K -4.58% G +0.000%2.53I 39.53% NM 38.59%EV -1.82% E -0.719% K -1.19% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 16:09
1xBet1.61I 62.11% NM 60.92%EV -1.48% E -0.919% K -2.42% G +0.000%2.51I 39.84% NM 39.08%EV -2.59% E -1.03% K -1.72% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 14:54
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10% NM 61.67%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.51I 39.84% NM 38.33%EV -2.59% E -1.03% K -1.72% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 15:20
ReBet1.57I 63.69% NM 61.43%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.57%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 17:15
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69% NM 61.43%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.57%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 16:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 15:34
Caesars1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 14:23
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 15:35
Neds1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 15:34
Coral1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 15:35
Bovada1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 17:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94% NM 61.88%EV -5.76% E -3.74% K -10.67% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.12%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 15:34
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -8.21% E -5.47% K -16.42% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -2.98% E -1.19% K -1.99% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 16:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10% NM 61.39%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 38.61%EV -3.76% E -1.52% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10% NM 61.39%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 38.61%EV -3.76% E -1.52% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10% NM 61.39%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 38.61%EV -3.76% E -1.52% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 17:04
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10% NM 61.39%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 38.61%EV -3.76% E -1.52% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 17:05
Betway1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 14:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 14:19
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:45
Bet Right1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 17:04
Coolbet1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 17:04
Casumo1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 17:05
Unibet1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 17:05
betPARX1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 17:05
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 17:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 17:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:05
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:45
888sport1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -6.37% E -4.17% K -12.03% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -6.37% E -4.17% K -12.03% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 17:04
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -6.37% E -4.17% K -12.03% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -4.92% E -2.01% K -3.40% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 17:05
FanDuel1.58I 63.29% NM 60.70%EV -3.31% E -2.10% K -5.72% G +0.000%2.44I 40.98% NM 39.30%EV -5.31% E -2.18% K -3.69% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:35
SportsBet1.56I 64.10% NM 61.00%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.44I 40.98% NM 39.00%EV -5.31% E -2.18% K -3.69% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 14:25
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 60.90%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.43I 41.15% NM 39.10%EV -5.70% E -2.35% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:50
BetRivers1.56I 64.10% NM 60.90%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.43I 41.15% NM 39.10%EV -5.70% E -2.35% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 60.90%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.43I 41.15% NM 39.10%EV -5.70% E -2.35% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:05
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 60.90%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.43I 41.15% NM 39.10%EV -5.70% E -2.35% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:04
TABtouch1.56I 64.10% NM 60.90%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.43I 41.15% NM 39.10%EV -5.70% E -2.35% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:05
NordicBet1.56I 64.10% NM 60.80%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.42I 41.32% NM 39.20%EV -6.09% E -2.52% K -4.29% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 15:34
Betsson1.56I 64.10% NM 60.80%EV -4.54% E -2.91% K -8.10% G +0.000%2.42I 41.32% NM 39.20%EV -6.09% E -2.52% K -4.29% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 15:34
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52% NM 60.96%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.42I 41.32% NM 39.04%EV -6.09% E -2.52% K -4.29% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:43
TAB1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -2.09% E -1.31% K -3.48% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:24
PlayUp1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -3.31% E -2.10% K -5.72% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 14:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 16:14
Fliff1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -5.15% E -3.32% K -9.36% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 60.91%EV -5.76% E -3.74% K -10.67% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.09%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 14:30
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94% NM 60.91%EV -5.76% E -3.74% K -10.67% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.09%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 14:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36% NM 61.07%EV -6.37% E -4.17% K -12.03% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.93%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 14:40
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36% NM 61.07%EV -6.37% E -4.17% K -12.03% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.93%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 14:45
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36% NM 61.07%EV -6.37% E -4.17% K -12.03% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.93%EV -6.86% E -2.86% K -4.90% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 17:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -3.93% E -2.50% K -6.89% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -7.64% E -3.21% K -5.54% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV +4.03% E +2.37% K +5.75% G +0.232%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -14.62% E -6.65% K -12.19% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 06:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerNew York Mets (Local)Kansas City Royals (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.62I 61.73% NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76% NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-08 17:15
Novig1.60I 62.50% NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02% NM 37.83%0.5%2026-07-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50% NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17% NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-08 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50% NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17% NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-08 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50% NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17% NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-08 17:05
Matchbook1.60I 62.50% NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17% NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-08 17:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89% NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02% NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-08 15:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11% NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06% NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-08 14:45
Smarkets1.57I 63.69% NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06% NM 38.01%2.8%2026-07-08 17:05
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%3.8%2026-07-08 15:10