مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

البداية: 2026-07-08 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 6–2 Kansas City Royals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.32%1.58السعر العادل
EV -1.85%
الأفضلية -1.20%
Kelly -3.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.19%63.33%63.37%64.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.24%66.23%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kansas City Royals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.68%2.73السعر العادل
EV +0.504%
الأفضلية +0.184%
Kelly +0.289%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.47%36.67%36.63%37.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.492.602.602.7440.16%38.52%38.46%36.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV +0.504%E +0.184%K +0.289%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-08 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.597%E -0.220%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 20:29
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.597%E -0.220%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 20:29
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 20:29
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 20:30
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.85%E -1.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.06%E -0.773%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 20:30
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.43%E -0.914%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:05
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 20:30
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:25
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:25
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:54
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.53%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:25
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:10
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 20:25
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:40
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 20:45
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:25
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:05
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:49
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:29
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 20:29
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.00%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 20:23
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.73%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:40
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.73%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:30
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:10
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:09
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:10
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -8.67%E -3.48%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 22:43
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%3.7%2026-07-08 23:10
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%5.4%2026-07-08 23:04