La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-07-08 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 6–2 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 63.32%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.19%63.33%63.37%64.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.24%66.23%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 36.68%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.504%
Ventaja +0.184%
Kelly +0.289%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%36.67%36.63%37.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.492.602.602.7440.16%38.52%38.46%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV +0.504%E +0.184%K +0.289%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-08 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.597%E -0.220%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 20:29
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.597%E -0.220%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 20:29
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 20:29
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 20:30
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.85%E -1.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.06%E -0.773%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 20:30
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.43%E -0.914%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:05
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 20:30
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:25
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:25
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:54
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.53%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:25
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:10
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 20:25
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:40
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 20:45
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:25
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:05
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:49
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:29
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 20:29
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.00%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 20:23
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.73%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:40
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.73%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:30
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:10
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:09
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:10
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -8.67%E -3.48%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 22:43
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%3.7%2026-07-08 23:10
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%5.4%2026-07-08 23:04