La scuola delle quote

New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-07-08 23:11 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 6–2 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 63.32%1.58quota equa
EV -1.85%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -3.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.19%63.33%63.37%64.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.24%66.23%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.68%2.73quota equa
EV +0.504%
Vantaggio +0.184%
Kelly +0.289%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.47%36.67%36.63%37.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.492.602.602.7440.16%38.52%38.46%36.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV +0.504%E +0.184%K +0.289%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-08 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.597%E -0.220%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 20:29
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.597%E -0.220%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 20:29
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 20:29
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 20:30
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.85%E -1.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.06%E -0.773%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 20:30
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.43%E -0.914%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:05
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 20:30
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:25
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:25
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:54
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.53%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 20:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:25
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.49%E -1.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 23:10
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 20:25
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:40
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 20:45
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:25
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:05
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:49
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:29
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 20:29
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.00%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 20:23
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.73%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:40
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.73%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 20:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:30
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:10
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:09
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:10
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -8.67%E -3.48%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 22:43
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-07-08 23:10
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%3.7%2026-07-08 23:10
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%5.4%2026-07-08 23:04