New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-09 17:11 — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Option 1: New York Mets (Local)

Odds

1.6261.73%Min

1.6859.41%Mean

1.6859.52%Median

1.7457.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.70%1.795Min

58.14%1.720Max

56.41%1.773Mean

56.29%1.776Median

56.31%1.776IQM

56.41%1.773Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 56.31%

EV -2.02%Edge -1.16%Kelly -2.73%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Odds

2.1047.62%Min

2.1945.64%Mean

2.2045.45%Median

2.2843.86%Max

Consensus probabilities

41.86%2.389Min

44.30%2.257Max

43.59%2.294Mean

43.71%2.288Median

43.69%2.289IQM

43.59%2.294Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.28 under the IQM model: 43.69%

EV -0.391%Edge -0.171%Kelly -0.305%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	New York Mets (Local) ▼	Kansas City Royals (Visit)	Margin	Updated
GTbets	1.74I 57.47% NM 56.39%EV -2.02% E -1.16% K -2.73% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 43.61%EV -1.70% E -0.756% K -1.36% G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-08 19:04
LowVig.ag	1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.02% E -1.16% K -2.73% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -3.01% E -1.36% K -2.47% G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-08 19:05
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.02% E -1.16% K -2.73% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -3.01% E -1.36% K -2.47% G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-08 19:05
1xBet	1.72I 58.14% NM 56.89%EV -3.14% E -1.83% K -4.37% G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05% NM 43.11%EV -0.828% E -0.365% K -0.652% G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-07-08 18:10
PointsBet (AU)	1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.71% E -2.17% K -5.22% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.89% E -1.77% K -3.24% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-08 18:10
Caesars	1.71I 58.48% NM 56.04%EV -3.71% E -2.17% K -5.22% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.96%EV -4.76% E -2.18% K -4.03% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-08 19:35
Fanatics	1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -3.71% E -2.17% K -5.22% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -6.07% E -2.82% K -5.28% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-08 18:10
MyBookie.ag	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.52%EV -4.27% E -2.51% K -6.10% G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25% NM 43.48%EV -3.45% E -1.56% K -2.85% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-08 19:38
DraftKings	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.30%EV -4.27% E -2.51% K -6.10% G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66% NM 43.70%EV -4.32% E -1.97% K -3.63% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-08 19:35
PlayUp	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.27% E -2.51% K -6.10% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -6.07% E -2.82% K -5.28% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 19:35
Fliff	1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -4.83% E -2.86% K -7.00% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -3.89% E -1.77% K -3.24% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-08 18:05
Unibet (UK)	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%EV -5.40% E -3.21% K -7.94% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%EV -4.76% E -2.18% K -4.03% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 19:35
NordicBet	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%EV -5.40% E -3.21% K -7.94% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%EV -4.76% E -2.18% K -4.03% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 19:35
Betsson	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%EV -5.40% E -3.21% K -7.94% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%EV -4.76% E -2.18% K -4.03% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 19:35
Winamax (DE)	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -5.40% E -3.21% K -7.94% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -6.07% E -2.82% K -5.28% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-08 19:35
Bet Right	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.07%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 42.93%EV -3.01% E -1.36% K -2.47% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-08 19:35
888sport	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.89% E -1.77% K -3.24% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 19:35
Betr (AU)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.89% E -1.77% K -3.24% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 19:35
Mr Green (SE)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.89% E -1.77% K -3.24% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 19:35
888sport (SE)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.89% E -1.77% K -3.24% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 19:35
William Hill	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.89% E -1.77% K -3.24% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 18:50
Betclic (FR)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.40%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30% NM 43.60%EV -5.63% E -2.61% K -4.86% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-08 19:34
ReBet	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.07% E -2.82% K -5.28% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-08 19:35
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.96% E -3.57% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.07% E -2.82% K -5.28% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-08 19:34
FanDuel	1.66I 60.24% NM 57.87%EV -6.52% E -3.93% K -9.88% G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86% NM 42.13%EV -0.391% E -0.171% K -0.305% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-08 19:30
SportsBet	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -7.09% E -4.29% K -10.90% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -3.89% E -1.77% K -3.24% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-08 18:05
Winamax (FR)	1.64I 60.98% NM 56.15%EV -7.65% E -4.66% K -11.95% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.85%EV -8.25% E -3.93% K -7.50% G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-08 19:35
Unibet (FR)	1.63I 61.35% NM 56.30%EV -8.21% E -5.04% K -13.03% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.70%EV -8.25% E -3.93% K -7.50% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-08 19:34
Paddy Power	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -8.78% E -5.42% K -14.15% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -1.70% E -0.756% K -1.36% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-08 19:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	New York Mets (Local)	Kansas City Royals (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	1.72I 58.14% NM 57.53%	2.33I 42.92% NM 42.47%	1.1%	2026-07-08 18:45
Polymarket	1.72I 58.14% NM 56.89%	2.27I 44.05% NM 43.11%	2.2%	2026-07-08 18:20
Novig	1.72I 58.14% NM 56.89%	2.27I 44.05% NM 43.11%	2.2%	2026-07-08 19:45
Smarkets	1.62I 61.73% NM 55.98%	2.06I 48.54% NM 44.02%	10.3%	2026-07-08 19:35