L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-09 17:11 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 7–3 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 55.83%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.989%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%55.84%55.92%57.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.701.701.7660.98%58.70%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.17%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.615%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.492%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.71%44.16%44.08%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.172.182.2548.78%46.03%45.87%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.74%E -0.989%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 16:30
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.74%E -0.989%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 16:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 17:04
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 14:24
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 14:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 14:27
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 14:29
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 15:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 14:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 17:10
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 15:50
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 14:30
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:29
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 14:24
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:24
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 17:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 15:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 14:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:04
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:00
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 14:29
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:05
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 14:59
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 15:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 14:54
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 17:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 14:54
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:00
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:49
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.44%E -5.15%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-09 16:55
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-09 17:08
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-07-09 17:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%2.0%2026-07-09 17:10
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-09 17:10